Tuesday, December 23, 2008

UPDATED: CPS runs back to inflating numbers about FLDS "Abuse."

UPDATED: It is my belief, based on discussion with Patrick Crimmins, that this report was essentially ready, over a month ago. It's release was delayed to have the most minimal negative impact (to CPS) possible. No questions are possible, dump the report and run. (Further updates below)

Employing a tactic we are oh so familiar with, Texas goes back to inflating the numbers and releasing their smears before a long weekend. This hits the news today, designed to dominate the news cycle about the FLDS over the Christmas weekend. It's a drive by.

SAN ANTONIO (AP/KSL News) - "Texas child welfare authorities conclude in a new report that nearly two-thirds of the families living at a polygamist group's ranch had children who were abused or neglected."

Of course we need to define how, about which apparently Texas is more specific than it used to be.

"The Department of Family and Protective Services released the report to The Associated Press on Tuesday, saying 12 girls, ages 12 to 15, are believed to have been abused. Another 274 children were listed as neglected because the agency says the parents knew there was abuse in the household but did not move their children away."

This is the oh so familiar tactic employed earlier this year where there were "41 of the 463 children" with broken bones. This later turned out to be a below normal bone breakage rate. Darrell Azar told Fox News;

"53 girls between the ages of 14 and 17 were living on the ranch in Eldorado. Of that group, 31 already have children or are pregnant."


The Dallas Morning News - "Mr. Crimmins acknowledged Tuesday, 'We were not able to link any of the broken bones to physical abuse.' "

Now there are 12 girls "believed to have been abused" yet only one man has been charged with impregnating an underage girl seen at YFZ that day. There are only 12 men indicted, and not all for polygyny or bigamy or child abuse. Furthermore, Texas could not even keep an accurate count of the children, lost track of two at one point and nearly killed another through neglect and dehydration. We're to rely on the numbers from these liars and incompetents?

Furthermore, what qualifies as abuse? They say "two thirds of the families" had abused kids most of whom were abused by contact with abusive examples. Contrast that with their own belief that 62% of girls are abused in the population as a whole by age of 18. 31% of the boys, they believe have been abused (Hat Tip Joseph Farah WND). They find only 12 girls? This represents less than 10% of the girls if in fact they can be believed on that number. This is an abuse rate fantastically lower than the population at large. With what we know now, that there were about 430 kids at YFZ, figuring half to be girls that's actually about a 5% rate of "girl abuse." So what do they do? They conflate the number with bystanders to create a 2/3rds abuse rate, to show that the abuse rate was large. Statistically, if you overlap the abuse rate randomly of 215 girls, with about 107 or so boys, there would be a much larger rate of abuse. About a third of the "abused boys" would statistically be distributed among families with no sexually abused girls, so it would be about an abuse rate of 72-73% overall. That means even a 2/3rd's abuse rate is lower than the population at large, even accepting their bystander theory of abuse by osmosis. Apparently, CPS sees abuse everywhere and maybe it is. When they pawed through every sock drawer though of the FLDS, they could only find 12 girls. This is not an indictment of the FLDS and it's practices and gives rise to asking a question. Reporting on the same news release;

The Houston Chronicle - "The Yearning for Zion case is about sexual abuse of girls and children who were taught that underage marriages are a way of life," officials state in the final investigative report on the April raid. "It is about parents who condoned illegal underage marriages and adults who failed to protect young girls — it has never been about religion."

Texas Department of Family and Protective Services "Officials" claim it was not about religion. After Harvey Hilderbran introduced and got passed a law specifically to "get" the FLDS and crowed about it, and after raiding a private group that has a much lower incidence of child abuse than the population at large, that wasn't contributing to welfare roles, what else is there?

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WC said...

CPS holds the same position as they did when they decided to go in the Ranch- that there is abuse, end of discussion. It's as if no mater what they find, the
FLDS are guilty.

The Pharisee said...

There are still rules about invading someone's home WC. You can't keep looking and looking, no matter what you eventually find.